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Cake day: March 4th, 2026

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  • Assuming that the situation is as simple as that is foolish at best and does not adequately explain collapsing fertility rates in poorer demographics.

    I agree that it would be silly to assume that the only correlation with fertility rates is GDP. There’s obviously going to be many factors that affect fertility and birth rates.

    There’s a lot of people that assume that the birth rates will go up with income which isn’t true at all. That was what my commentary was pointed at more than anything.





  • The decreasing relationship between the two variables demonstrates the connection between fertility choices and economic considerations. In general, poor countries tend to have higher levels of fertility than rich countries.

    In particular, women tend to give birth to no fewer than three children in countries where GDP per capita is below $1,000 per year. In countries where GDP per capita is above $10,000 per year, women tend to give birth to no more than two children.

    This decreasing relationship between fertility and income is well known to economists and demographers alike. In addition, it holds true over time: Rich countries, such as the U.S., have experienced a remarkable decline in their fertility rate as they became rich. Also, the relationship holds at the individual level, as rich families tend to have fewer children than poor families.

    This statement is from the same place as the graph pictured above.