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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: May 19th, 2024

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  • I see that requires some more explaining my thinking:

    There is only demand and supply.

    Previously, we had “high demand” and “limited supply” which is what lead to software dev roles being a very well paid job in silicon valley and some other places.

    Now, the promise of AI, making software by itself or increasing productivity, if true, mean that supply increases. That makes software cheaper. Theoretically.

    But that’s the supply side.

    What you’re talking about is also a “I have so much supply, I can now afford to do projects and software I could not do before, because my time, budget, etc. was limited.” But you already had the idea and the “demand” however low priority, already existed.

    What isn’t happening, is that some company sits down and suddenly decides that they need more software than they thought they needed. Even the bit that is “replacing real humans” is replacing humans. It’s meeting a demand that was already there in a new way.

    Using a metaphor / example, we currently, as humanity, manage to feed ourselves. Or let’s pretend that we do and nobody is starving. Someone claiming that “the demand for food is going to go up” is talking nonsense. They can say that demand for “cheese” or “meat” or “potatoes” will go up. But not food, because that market is already saturated. Because we’re not starving.

    Yes, the fact that the demand is there and that the supply gets cheaper will mean that more software will be produced.

    But not because of increased demand. AI doesn’t create it’s own demand.

    …at least that’s my thought process and why I wrote what I wrote in the original comment.




  • If you’re worried about misinformation, the most dangerous places are main stream media and a bad algorithmic selection on youtube or other “endless scroll” websites.

    And the main stream media thing not because it’s obvious nonsense, because they having specific wording and focus you don’t really see until you look for it, so it looks balanced and fine and high quality, but you only get a good sense of what’s going on by reading from multiple international sources, even bad ones and noticing the differences in focus and tone and thinking about it.

    If you have a source or person you trust implicitly, be sure to check them in depth from time to time. How they report on different topics and such. E.g. is it always pro or contra something.


  • If you are ok with factory ish games, I really liked the level based nature of “mindustry”. Factorio is more “you have any space you need, nature bends to your will”. And mindustry does some stuff where it’s similar production chain puzzling, but you are hard restricted by space. Which improves the puzzling, because not all solutions will fit everywhere.

    Otherwise I would also recommend against the storm.







  • The thing I’m concerned about is not the absolute number when news like this are published, but the magnitude of the error. Not in a “haha, they’re so wrong, lol” way, but in a “if they get it this wrong over x years, I wonder what the error will be in 2x years”.

    “Combining observations and climate models suggests a 60% stronger weakening of the Atlantic circulation than using models alone.”

    Being off by 60% is massive and then new estimate will have some margin of error as well. Which could go back to the original value, but it could also be worse. We just don’t know.