I’m pretty sure Scam Altman tried this line some time ago for one of his supposed models.

I didn’t mean to imply it does. I use the built-in ZigBee radio on the HA Yellow. The ZBT-2 is only doing Matter/Thread. I also got a Z-Wave radio hooked to the Yellow’s GPIO.

Did you misspel WW3? 🤭

I only meant for analysis sake 😅

Did an edit to add that before I saw your reply. Don’t buy what Israel tells you about how they love the Iranian people. Consider Israel’s material interests.

E: Also it’s fairly public fact that Israel lobbied against the deal and following it lobbied for repeal.

The US had a perfectly good deal. Israel didn’t. If the deal had stayed in place, the Iranian econony would have roughly doubled by now. That’s a lot more resources that could stay in Israel’s way of expanding into Lebanon for example.

Too few to be honest. That said 19% didn’t know so that’s not 46% endorsement of the opposite.

Social costs intensify

I just got ZBT-2 for my first Matter/Thread device and hooked it up to my HA Yellow. This thing now does ZigBee, Thread and Z-Wave. 😆

Really? I wasn’t able to connect Ikea bulbs to my Hue hub when I still used it. 🤔

This is pretty normal. Philips also uses ZigBee for Hue and you can’t connect non-Philips ZigBee devices to it. This is the major reason I started using Home Assistant. I use Home Assistant Yellow which has a built-in ZigBee radio but ZigBee radios can be added via USB to any setup running Home Assistant. ZBT-2 is pretty great for high performance unit. Sonoff have a cheaper dongle.

Libya now is still better off than Libya under Gaddafi.

What the actual fuck. Holy dear Jesus. That’s a wild take if I ever saw one.

Oh I’m considering this from the perspective of the regional reason for instability which for a while now has been Israel. For long-term stability, Israel should face mutually-assured-destruction from Iran without the promise of unlimited weapons and interceptors from US. Israel should also face existential threat from Iran if they expand in to neighbouring countries, like they’re currently doing in Lebanon. If the US-Israel military command causes significant economic pain in the US, I think the US public opinion would force the US to break from Israel, which should usher the conditions I’m envisioning - of Israel facing Iran and the region alone, and perhaps even without unlimited US weapons. Def not the only possibility, but the one I think would make things a lot less explosive over the long haul.

E: I think China might push Iran to settle with the US in order to halt the economic destruction that would affect them too, possibly in exchange for greater economic China-Iran cooperation despite US sanctions.

Aaalright then. I think we’re done here.

I think Israel, without unlimited weapons backing of the US (a condition I think would occur if the US loses badly) would stop casual strikes against Iran. They would know they risk a barrage of missiles that they don’t have the interceptors for. And if Iran gets the nuke, then MAD would be in effect. Israel seeing Iran as an existential threat now, not in the future would sit tight and perhaps even open a dialogue. The problem today is they consider Iran a threat in the future. And mind you they don’t consider them a threat so much to Israel today than to their plans for expansion in Lebanon, West Bank, Syria and so on.

They don’t have to be a fascist to have a bad take.

The solution with the least harm would be for the USA and other NATO allies to help the Iranians overthrow the despots and cut ties with China.

Disagree. A democratic Iran with 90 million population, and presumably no sanctions, is a growth powerhouse that produces loads of things, among which loads of weapons. For Israel’s security apparatus, that’s a country one “bad” election away from launching a lot more weapons at them. That’s something which Israel will not let stand. Which is also why they are so obviously not going for regime change but instead for inducing a failed state that’s ungovernable, can’t organize production, won’t have sanctions lifted, would perpetually have insurgency that can be bombed at will, or in technical terms mow the lawn.

There’s no outcome other than diminished US or Israeli power, or both, that would produce stability in the region given Israel’s ambitions and US interests in the region.

As for the Iranian people, their only hope for better life can come from internal struggle against their gov’t over time that would be made a whole lot easier if their economic situation is made better through lifting of sanctions, or if sanctions remain - through massively increased trade with China. (Cause the more resources people have, the more they have left to organize as change does not come through magic and spontaneous revolutions are a fantasy.) If the EU is smart, they would drop their sanctions against Iran. Which is actually plausible if more shit keeps hitting the fan and their oil supply does not resume, which could force them to break ranks with the US on this.

I do give a fuck. I’m glad they do because the only way I see for long term stability in that region, which affects my and my family’s life in multiple ways, is for the US to lose the war as badly as possible.

Which changes them from being the victim in this war how? Or during the war last year? Or the protesters who got driven to the streets after the explicit and intentional work of Scott Bessent? Or the tens/hundreds of thosands who’ve died due to lack of medicine created by US decades-long sanctions? Do you not see that the Iranian gov’t atrocities do not make them and Iranian people any less of a victim of US violence of different kinds?

You should bring in Sepia, Hotznplotzn, randomname and tardigrade to upvote your own comments for better visibility. Maybe bring some of the inactive ones from the closet, or register new ones too!