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Cake day: June 7th, 2025

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  • That’s actually a very interesting question. Caesar was known for his luck throughout his life, and it certainly led to him having a larger appetite for risk than his contemporaries. But a lot of that luck was also created by him being incredibly skilled at just about anything.

    Another commander known for his luck, and gambles, was Napoleon. This worked out incredibly well for him (well, for a time anyway). He equally was incredibly skilled at just about anything he set his mind to and both were tireless workers.

    Gambling like that is something you can do when you are confident that whatever situation you get yourself in, you’ll be able to work your way out of it. Both got into very dicey situations at times. They had the skillset and the highly disciplined troops to work themselves out of these situations (example: Napoleon losing the first battle of Marengo, realizing there was still time for a second battle and crushing the celebrating Austrians. Another example: Caesar at the battle of the Sabis managing to rally his troops after being ambushed and eventually being able to push back the Nervii. Both turned out to be crushing victories where they really should have lost.)




  • They can plan and wish all they want, Orban has made it impossible to get anything done without a 2/3 super majority in parliament and at the same time made it as good as impossible for any non-Fidesz alliance or party to win such a majority.

    An example of how difficult it will be to not only rule but to stay in power: the budget council, packed with 3 Fidesz loyalists for at least the next 4 years, can veto any government budget for whatever reason. If the government is unable to pass a budget, the president (also a Fidesz loyalist) can call snap elections. Both can only be changed with a super majority. This is just one of the many legislative booby traps in the path of Tisza.